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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2019
Twins vs Angels
UNDER 9½ -130 Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Premium

MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)

These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over.  Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. 

Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. 

Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2019
Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Red Sox
-150 at pinnacle
Lost
$150.0
Play Type: Premium

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Blue Jays stater Marcus Stroman is off to a hot start this season with a 2.95 ERA over 10 starts. The problem is that he has just one win to show for it because of a lack of run support. Because of this he is less than a desirable hurler to back vs a BoSox team with a viable offence. Meanwhile, Bostons starter RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 21-4  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CORA is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of BOSTON. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2019
Nationals vs Mets
Nationals
+129 at betonline
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)

NY Mets starter today Wheeler faces the Nats for the second straight start and fourth time already this season  and the results have not been good as is evident by a 9.77 ERA. Last Thursday,  Meanwhile,Fedde the Nats starter will make his first start of the season, joining the Nationals' rotation in place of the injured Anibal Sanchez. Four of Fedde's five outings from the bullpen have been scoreless, and is a viable pitcher with value attached to his performance results.

Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 2-7 in Wheelers last 9 home starts vs. Nationals.

The Mets ended a 5 game losing streak last time out, but it must be noted that the NY METS are 1-9  against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2019
Bucks vs Raptors
UNDER 216½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2

The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee   converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while  the Raptors  have gone under 7 straight times  in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also  0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. 

Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2019
Sharks vs Blues
UNDER 5½ -118 Lost
$118.0
Play Type: Premium

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2

Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience  , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side.  With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. 

SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg.  JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games.

NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are  417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2019
Bucks vs Raptors
Bucks
-2 -120 at pinnacle
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Premium

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1

The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going  22-1 SU  with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS  after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is  20-6  ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming  by 6 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
Marlins vs Tigers
Marlins
+117 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium

JOSE URENA (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L

The victories may not be there for Urena, but the performances have been quality,  in his last six starts. Despite being 1-3, he has a 2.77 ERA over that span, working at least six innings in each of them and is a value selection here tonight. URENA is 12-4  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Marlins are 10-3 in Urenas last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers have lost 7 straight games while the Marlins have won 4 straight. 

NORRIS  the Tigers starter is 1-9  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NORRIS is 9-20  against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record) Tigers are 1-10 in Norris' last 11 starts during game 2 of a series. 

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Red Sox
-145 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)

After a rough first three starts of the season, Porcello has been stellar ever since, going 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his last six starts and gets my support here today as the Boston Red Sox bounce back off yesterdays loss to the Jays.

Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts.Red Sox are 9-3 in Porcellos last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 10-4 in Porcellos last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.

Note:  Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez RHP 3-4, 3.88 ERA, 50 SO, exited his last game early with a blister, and may still not be 100%.

Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

BOSTON is 20-8  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
A's vs Indians
A's
-120 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Frankie Montas ...RHP5-2, 2.67 ERA, 52 SO....Montas is emerging as the A's top pitcher, coming off a career-best performance of 8 2/3 innings and 10 strikeouts in a win over the Tigers. He allowed just two earned runs over six innings in a start against Cleveland at the Oakland Coliseum earlier this month and gets my support here today. CLEVELAND is 3-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 4-0 in Montas' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Montas' last 6 starts vs. American League Central.

OAKLAND is 32-9  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.