Frank Sawyer Frank Sawyer
Frank Sawyer is on an 11 of 16 (69%) MLB TOTALS TEAR -- and he furthers his RED HOT 12 of 16 (75%) MLB Game of the Year mark with a 25* MLB Divisional Total of the Year! DON'T MISS OUT!
Hollywood Sports 25* CFL FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* Africa Cup of Nations Match of the Year this afternoon on Algeria to further their RED HOT 9 of 12 (75%) All-Sports run with their highest-rated 25* plays! Frank CA$HED his 25* CFL Thursday ESPN2 Game of the Month to close out the month of June with a 46 of 75 (61%) CFL long-term mark along with a 19 of 30 (63%) CFL Game of the Year/Month run! Frank considers the CFL his PERSONAL ATM with it being important to TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AS MANY OF THESE MONEY-MAKING OPPORTUNITIES AS POSSIBLE to maximize our yield — and he furthers his PERFECT 4-0 CFL TOTALS TEAR going back to last season with his 25* CFL Friday Night Total of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!

*This package includes 1 CFL Total pick

Hollywood Sports 25* MLB DIVISIONAL TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* MLB play on San Francisco last night to further their 16 of 24 (67%) MLB run with their highest-rated 25* plays! Frank is also on an 11 of 16 (73%) MLB TOTALS TEAR along with a longer-term 26 of 40 (65%) MLB Totals mark — and now he furthers his RED HOT 12 of 16 (75%) MLB Game of the Year run with this 25* MLB Divisional Total of the Year! DO NOT MISS OUT!

*This package includes 1 MLB Total pick

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Mets vs Giants
OVER 7 -130 Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Free

Take Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Madison Bumgarner. New York (44-51) has won four straight games with their 14-4 win in Minnesota yesterday. The Mets stay on the road where the Over is 11-5-2 in their last 18 games. The Over is also 9-4-2 New York’s last 15 games against teams with a losing record. San Francisco (47-49) comes off a 11-8 win over Colorado last night. The Over is 7-3-1 in the Giants’ last 11 games after a win. The Over is also 4-0-1 in San Francisco’s last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Take the Over while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Thursday on a RED HOT 7 of 10 (70%) All-Sports run with his highest-rated 25* plays! Now Frank furthers his 15 of 23 (65%) MLB mark with his highest-rated 25* plays with a SUPER SIDE SITUATION tonight that is worthy of his 25* seal of approval! JOIN Frank for this 25* SPECIAL FEATURE!

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Astros vs Angels
OVER 10 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (923) and the Los Angeles Angels (924) listing both starting pitchers Wade Miley and Matt Harvey. THE SITUATION: Houston (60-37) won the third game of this series last night by an 11-2 score. Los Angeles (50-47) saw their five-game winning streak snapped with the loss.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 3-1-1 in the Astros last 5 games after a win — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a victory by at least six runs against a fellow AL West rival. Additionally, the Over is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last contest. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total on the road against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Miley who is 7-4 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in nineteen starts. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.54 and 4.38 moving forward based on Miley’s peripheral numbers. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 4.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .240 in eleven starts as compared to his outstanding 1.86 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .199 opponent’s batting average at home. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 road games with Miley pitching priced in the +/- 125 range. Houston has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Miley pitching with the Total set at 10 or higher. He faces a hot-hitting Angels team that is scoring 8.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .304 batting average along with a .381 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .932 over that span. The Over is 22-8-1 in Los Angeles’ last 31 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 17-5-4 in the Angels’ last 26 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Over is 4-0-1 in LA’s last 5 games after a loss — and the Over is 5-2-2 in their last 9 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Angels have played 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games with the Total set at 10 or higher. Los Angeles has also played 6 straight games Over the Total in the fourth game of a series. They counter with Harvey who is 3-4 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP in eleven starts. The right-hander has made one start since his return from an extended stint on the disabled list with a back issue. Harvey has struggled at home where he has an 8.91 ERA with a 1.70 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .313 in seven starts. The Angels have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Harvey on the hill. He faces an Astros team that is scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .287 batting average along with a .365 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .833 in those games. Houston has also played 4 straight road games Over the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Angles Stadium — and the Over is also 7-2-2 in their last 11 meetings between these two teams. 10* MLB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (923) and the Los Angeles Angels (924) listing both starting pitchers Wade Miley and Matt Harvey. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Brewers vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-107 at sportsbook
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (910) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (909) listing both starting pitchers Merrill Kelly and Zach Davies. THE SITUATION: Arizona (49-47) has won six of their last eight games after their 19-4 victory at Texas on Wednesday. Milwaukee (50-47) has won their last two games after they defeated Atlanta by a 5-4 score yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MONEY-LINE ON THE DIAMONDBACKS: Arizona has won 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after a victory by at least 10 tuns in their last game. The Diamondbacks have also won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 15 of their last 23 games after scoring at least eight runs in their last contest. Arizona returns home where they have won 4 straight games — and they have won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. The Diamondbacks have also won 5 of their last 6 opening games to a new series. They give the ball to Kelly who is 7-9 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in nineteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective when pitching at home in Chase Field where he owns a 3.04 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .251 in eight starts as compared to his 4.68 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .258 opponent’s batting average on the road. Arizona has won 3 of their last 4 home games with Kelly pitching as a favorite priced at least at -110. He faces a Brewers team that has lost 7 of their last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 5 straight games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Milwaukee has lost 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Brewers have also lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road. And in their last 10 opening games to a new series, Milwaukee has lost 8 of these contests. They counter with Davies who is 7-2 with a 2.89 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP in nineteen starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 5.27 and 5.00 moving forward. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 1.37 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 1.30 WHIP and .253 opponent’s batting average. The Brewers have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road with Davies facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .282 batting average along with a .346 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .842. The Diamondbacks have also won 6 of the last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 10* MLB Super Under-Valued Favorite with the Arizona Diamondbacks (910) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (909) listing both starting pitchers Merrill Kelly and Zach Davies. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Mets vs Giants
Giants
-111 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

At 9:45 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (912) versus the New York Mets (911) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (47-49) has won five straight games — as well as twelve of their last fourteen contests — with their 11-8 victory at Colorado yesterday. New York (44-51) has won four games in a row themselves with their 14-4 win at Minnesota on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Francisco has won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 13 of their last 19 games after scoring at least eight runs in their last contest. The Giants have also won 7 of their last 8 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. This team is crushing the baseball as of late having scored 115 runs over their last fourteen games (8.2 Runs-Per-Game) while scoring in double-digits in six of those contests. Now after playing their last seven games on the road, San Francisco returns home to begin this series — and they have won 9 of their last 12 opening games to a new series. The Giants have also won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Bumgarner who is 5-7 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in twenty starts. The left-hander has been outstanding as of late as he is 2-0 over his last four starts with a 1.86 ERA with 28 strikeouts over 20 innings of work. He also loves facing this Mets team — Bumgarner has a 5-0 record in his last five starts against New York with a 1.26 ERA in those starts. Bumgarner has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.62 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .245 in eleven starts as compared to his 4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. San Francisco has won 4 straight games at home with Bumgarner on the hill. He faces a Mets team that has lost 9 of their last 13 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has lost 14 of their last 17 games after a game where at least seventeen combined runs were scored. The Mets have also lost 10 of their last 12 opening games to a new series. This is the sixth straight game on the road for New York — and they have lost 11 of their last 17 games after playing their last five games on the road. The Mets have also lost 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Syndergaard who is 7-4 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he owns a 4.68 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .278 in eight starts. New York has lost 6 of their last 9 road games with Syndergaard pitching with the Mets’ priced in the +/- 125 range. The Giants have won 5 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers — and over their last seven games, they are scoring 8.9 Runs-Per-Game with a .321 batting average along with a .376 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .937.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has lost the last two games between these team teams in their last series in June. The Giants have won 18 of their last 26 games when playing with at least double revenge. 25* MLB Thursday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (912) versus the New York Mets (911) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Noah Syndergaard. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Rays vs Yankees
UNDER 10 -120 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 3:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Yonny Chirinos and Domingo German. THE SITUATION: This first game of today’s scheduled double-header is the same pitching matchup as was planned for yesterday game that was postponed due to weather. New York (60-33) has won two of their last three games with their 8-3 victory over the Rays in the second game of this series on Tuesday. Tampa Bay (56-41) had won three straight games before last night’s loss.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees clubbed two home runs en route to a six-run 8th inning to break open that game on Tuesday while ruining our Under that looked pretty good with the 3-2 score entering the bottom half of the 8th. New York had scored only 17 combined runs in their previous six games while not plating more than four runs in any of those games before Tuesday. The Yankees bullpen did not surrender an earned run in that game — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after a game where their bullpen did not allow at least one earned run. The Under is also 3-1-1 in New York’s last 5 games at home in Yankee Stadium — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against fellow AL East opponents. They give the ball to German who is 11-2 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in fourteen starts (fifteen games). The right-hander went on the disabled list with a hip injury but is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his two starts since his return. German has been much better at home where he owns a 1.98 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in six starts (seven games) as opposed to his 4.53 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and .229 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Yankees have played 6 straight games Under the Total with German pitching at home. Tampa Bay did not commit an error for the third straight game — they have committed only two errors in their last ten games. The Rays have then played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total after not committing an error for at least two straight games. Tampa Bay has also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total as a road dog priced at least at +150. They counter with Chirinos who is 8-4 with a 3.11 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in nineteen appearances. The right-hander had been used as a bulk inning middle reliever — but his ability to throw strikes has elevated him to a regular starter in the Rays’ rotation. Chirinos is walking only 5.3% of the batters he faces which combined with Tampa Bay’s outstanding defense to help suppress base runners when he is on the mound. He has made nine straight starts for his team with a 3.04 ERA in those efforts. Chirinos has also been a bit better on the road where he owns a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in nine appearances as compared to his 0.98 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average at home. The Rays have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Chirinos on the hill. He faces this cold Yankee lineup that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .250 batting average along with a .321 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .769 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams after Tuesday’s late Over result. Expect a return to a lower scoring game today — although I am downgrading yesterday’s 25* play to a 20* play given the sixteen-hour delay.  20* MLB Thursday Afternoon O/U Matinee with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Yonny Chirinos and Domingo German. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
PGA  |  Jul 18, 2019
Hideki Matsuyama vs Matt Kuchar
Hideki Matsuyama
-105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The British Open returns to Northern Ireland at Royal Portrush for the first time since 1956. The last major event on this course was the Irish Open back in 2012. This will be a unique challenge for the golfers coming over from the PGA Tour this week with its links course combining with the fescue turf, tough bunkers, and undulated greens. Par will be set at 71 this week with the course consisting of 7344 yards of play.

Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites to win this event is on Hideki Matsuyama who Bovada lists at 33-1 to win this event. Matsuyama is on the shortlist of the best golfers on the tour who have yet to break through to win their first major tournament. He certainly has the skill set to lift the Claret Jug. Matsuyama is 3rd on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green while also ranking 16th on the tour in Scrambling and 17th in Birdies or better percentage. Matsuyama also bangs it off the tee as he is 24th on the tour in Driving Distance. And while Matsuyama is just 98th in Driving Accuracy, his scrambling ability helps to make up for this as he ranks 21st on the tour with his 69.61% Greens-in-Regulation success rate. Additionally, Matsuyama is 12th on the tour in scoring with an average round of 69.795 — and he is 8th on the tour in Birdies average. The biggest flaw in his game is with his putter where he ranks 113th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting — but that is why he is paying tickets off at 33-1 odds. Matsuyama is remarkably consistent with this skill set — he has thirteen Top-25 finishes which include his last six events. He also has a great track record at British Opens where he has three Top-Ten finishes in six appearances. He is linked with Matt Kuchar in head-to-head betting propositions. Frankly, I looked closely at Kuchar as a long shot with Bovada also listing him at 33-1. Kuchar almost provided us a big long shot payout in 2017 when he finished tied for 2nd place at the British Open (that Jordan Spieth won). We cashed on Kuchar at 40-1 odds earlier this year at the Sony Open. He currently tops the field in the FedEx rankings. But Kuchar’s ranking is buttressed by his willingness to compete in some of the second-tier events on the PGA Tour. I worry about Kuchar when length off the tee can make a difference for the tournament in question — he ranks just tied for 125th on the tour by averaging 290.8 yards per drive. Kuchar does not have have an elite short game to help compensate for his soft driving skills. Kuchar ranks 61st on the tour in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green while also ranking only 32nd in Shots-Gained: Putting. Kuchar finished tied for 20th place last week at the Scottish Open — and he has four Top-15 finishes in four of his last seven British Opens. Ultimately, I think the arrow points down for Kuchar while the arrow is standing straight up for a younger player like Matsuyama. Take Matsuyama in head-to-head betting propositions versus Kuchar. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
PGA  |  Jul 18, 2019
Brooks Koepka vs Tiger Woods
Brooks Koepka
-135 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The British Open returns to Northern Ireland at Royal Portrush for the first time since 1956. The last major event on this course was the Irish Open back in 2012. This will be a unique challenge for the golfers coming over from the PGA Tour this week with its links course combining with the fescue turf, tough bunkers, and undulated greens. Par will be set at 71 this week with the course consisting of 7344 yards of play. The favorite is Rory McIlroy who Bovada lists as the top favorite to win this event at 7.5-1 odds. McIlroy is having a great year as he leads the PGA Tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. We successfully endorsed him as our Best Bet won he won the RBC Canadian Open last month. He also has the course record at this golf course back when he shot a 61 when he was just a 16-year-old. For the record, this course has seen some changes over the last few years since then as they began preparing to host this event. My biggest concern for McIlroy is his ability to handle the pressure of expectations when playing in major tournaments. The last time that McIlroy hoisted the championship trophy was at the PGA Championship back in 2014 which is also the summer he won his lone British Open. When combining that phenomenon with the likely pressure he is facing being the hometown hero for this tournament, I simply do not like the unique pressure he feels this week to win this event — especially when he is an underlay bet at 7.5-1 odds.

Our Best Bet is on Brooks Koepka who Bovada lists as a 9.5-1 favorite to win this tournament. Koepka has won or finished in second place in the last four majors on the tour — and he finished in the top two places in five of the last six majors. With the hoopla focusing on McIlroy, Koepka has just enough of the attention off of him this week as he looks to win his fifth major along with his first British Open. I think he sets up great to win this tournament. He is very familiar with the European Tour where he initially cut his teeth after graduating from Florida State. Koepka is tops on the PGA Tour since 2014 in sample-size adjusted scoring per round on links courses. His number one world ranking comes with sporting a well-rounded game. He is 11th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green while also ranking 6th in hitting Greens-in-Regulation. Koepka is also 12th on the tour in Driving Distance at 309.1 yards which helps him get to the putter in his hands earlier. Koepka does rank just 102nd in driving accuracy which could get him in trouble this week — but he complements his length with a great sand wedge as he ranks 17th on the tour in Sand Saves. Finally, the X-Factor for him this week is that his caddie, Ricky Elliott, is a 30-year member at this golf course so he has knowledge of it like no one else walking the grounds for this tournament. Koepka is linked with Tiger Woods in head-to-head betting propositions. Woods has not played enough this year to get officially measured in the PGA rankings regarding the deeper analytics. His average driving distance of 297.8 yards is well below the number he would average when he was dominating the tour — bangers like Koepka and McIlroy now benefit from length off the tee in the way Woods used to in his heyday. Woods is usually an underlay relative to his odds given his name recognition to bettors. I do not like that he has not been back on the tour since finishing tied for 21st place five weeks ago at the US Open. Since winning the Master’s, Woods missed the cut at the PGA Championship on a similar five-week break from playing Augusta National before finishing tied for 9th at the Memorial Tournament on that Jack Nicklaus course that he had previously won five times. And I do not love the prospects of an older player with a history of back problems contending with the potential wind, rain, and other inclement weather that tends to typify a British Open. Take Koepka (7215) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Woods for Thursday, Day One at the British Open. Best of luck for us — Frank.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Jul 19, 2019
Algeria vs Senegal
UNDER 2 -129 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Algeria (235605) and Senegal (235606) in the Finals of the Africa Cup of Nations. THE SITUATION: Algeria (W5-1D1-L0) reached the Finals of the Africa Cup of Nations on Sunday with their 2-1 win over Nigeria. Senegal (W5-D0-L1) joined them in this championship match with their 1-0 win over Tunisia on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Senegal scored on an own goal in the 100th minute which made the winning difference in their Semifinals match against Tunisia. Scoring is an issue for this side with the Lions of Teranga having not scored a goal from one of their own players 2 hours and 21 minutes of play. Sadio Mane is their only player to find the back of the net only once — and the Liverpool star has shown the physical effects of carrying his national team in the Knockout Stage as he has looked like he was lacking energy at times. Senegal is also undermanned in this championship match. They were already missing their top goaltender, Eduard Mendy, who is dealing with an injury. Now they will be without their best backline player in the 6’5 Kalidou Coulibaly who is suspended for this match after receiving his second yellow card on Sunday. Manager Aliou Cisse has already had his team embrace defensive tactics in this tournament. All three of their victories in the Knockout Stage have been by 1-0 scores. With Mane seeming to be tired and their defense undermanned, look for the Lions of Teranga to be even more frugal with the chances they are willing to take. Algeria defense has also been stout as they have surrendered only two goals in those six matches. Three of the Desert Foxes six matches have seen more than two goals scored — but their Semifinals match with Nigeria saw that third goal scored my Mahrez in the last play of the game in the 95th minute.

FINAL TAKE: Senegal managed only one shot on target in the Semifinals — and Algeria only had two shot attempts in their Semifinals match against Nigeria. Both of these teams look to be content playing a defensive struggle where they then rely on their respective superstars, Mahrez and Mane, looking to score a winning goal late in the match. These two teams played to a 1-0 score when they played in the Group Stage back on June 27th which the Desert Foxes won. Expect another low scoring match this afternoon. 10* Africa Cup of Nations Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Algeria (235605) and Senegal (235606). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Jul 19, 2019
Algeria vs Senegal
Algeria
PK -100 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Algeria (235605) with the goal-line versus Senegal (235606) in the Finals of the Africa Cup of Nations. THE SITUATION: Algeria (W5-1D1-L0) reached the Finals of the Africa Cup of Nations on Sunday with their 2-1 win over Nigeria. Senegal (W5-D0-L1) joined them in this championship match with their 1-0 win over Tunisia on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE ALGERIA WITH THE GOAL-LINE: Algeria has been the best overall team in this tournament with five wins decided in the 90 minute regulation time. The lone blemish on the Desert Foxes record in this tournament was a 1-1 result with the Ivory Coast in the Quarterfinals which they won via penalty kicks. The 12 goals that Algeria scored in their six matches is the most of any competitor in this AFCON. Algeria’s defensive has also been stout as they have surrendered only two goals in those six matches. Their +10 net goal differential is best of all the teams in this tournament. This Algerian side has star power with their talisman being Riyad Mahrez who currently plays for Manchester City and who starred on the Leicester City team that won the English Premier League a few years ago. The Desert Foxes will certainly be hungry after missing out on the 2018 World Cup last summer — and they have not won the Africa Cup of Nations in twenty-nine years. This national program turned things around last November when they hired their former midfielder, Djamel Belmadi, to take over the managing duties. Algeria is unbeaten in their eleven matches since under Belmadi’s guidance. This is a solid group that has no obvious weaknesses. They also demonstrated championship mettle by scoring on the what was the final play of their match against Nigeria on Sunday when Mahrez netted a spectacular free-kick just outside the box. Senegal scored on an own goal in the 100th minute which made the winning difference in their Semifinals match against Tunisia. Scoring is an issue for this side with the Lions of Teranga having not scored a goal from one of their own players 2 hours and 21 minutes of play. Sadio Mane is their only player to find the back of the net only once — and the Liverpool star has shown the physical effects of carrying his national team in the Knockout Stage as he has looked like he was lacking energy at times. Senegal is also undermanned in this championship match. They were already missing their top goaltender, Eduard Mendy, who is dealing with an injury. Now they will be without their best backline player in the 6’5 Kalidou Coulibaly who is suspended for this match after receiving his second yellow card on Sunday.

FINAL TAKE: Algeria defeated Senegal by a 1-0 score when these two teams faced off in the second Group Stage match back on June 27th. I do not think that the Lions of Teranga gets their revenge this afternoon. The Desert Foxes are a better team now three weeks later while playing with more confidence. Senegal, on the other hand, has a tiring Mane along with being without one of their best players in Koulibaly. Finally, Algeria has the geographical and likely crowd advantage with this match taking place in neighboring Egypt. 25* Africa Cup of Nations Match of the Year with Algeria (235605) with the goal-line versus Senegal (235606). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SERVICE BIO

Frank Sawyer has been the handicapper for the stars ever since he started working in the film industry over 20 years ago. In 1997, Frank decided to make his personal bets available to the public and his Hollywood Sports was born. His service has been ranked #1 by the Sports Monitor in Oklahoma City. Frank's style combines his veteran handicapping instincts with cutting edge statistical metric analysis to make him one of the most distinct, diverse and reliable handicappers in the business. One look at his Game Reports illustrates the difference he brings to the betting window. Frank bets football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer and horse racing (he has been a professional racehorse owner). He ranks his plays with a simple 10*, 20* and 25* rating system that serves as a money management guide: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays are strong enough to warrant a doubling of a standard bet; 25* plays are Frank's highest rated play and it is recommended to invest 2.5 to 3 times a standard bet. Frank's signature play is his *A-List* release which is reserved for only the most rare and elite betting situations. You can follow his daily sports trials and tribulations (with few jokes thrown in) on Twitter: FrankSawyer_HS