Frank Sawyer Frank Sawyer
Frank Sawyer is on a NEAR PERFECT 9 of 10 (90%) MLB run -- and he furthers his 19 of 26 (73%) MLB Sides run with his 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Month for Wednesday night!
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
Dodgers vs. Rays
Total
8 -111
  at  PINNACLE
started

Take Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Tampa Rays listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Ryne Stanek. Los Angeles (32-17) has won the opening two games of this series with their 7-3 victory last night. The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total in Interleague play. Tampa Bay (27-18) has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 4 games at home overall, the Over is 3-0-1. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* MLB Getaway Game of the Month this afternoon on San Diego to further their NEAR PERFECT 9 of 10 (90%) MLB run while improving their 45 of 73 (62%) long-term MLB mark! Now Frank furthers his RED HOT 19 of 26 (72%) MLB Sides run of underdogs and favorites NEVER priced higher than -150 with a SUPER SIDE SITUATION tonight with their 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2019
Phillies vs Cubs
Cubs
-126 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (902) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (901) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Zach Eflin. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (28-19) has won four straight games after winning the opening game of this series last night by a 5-4 score. Chicago (27-18) has lost four of the last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CUBS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Chicago has rebounded to win 35 of their last 52 games after a loss. The Cubs have been tough to beat at home in Wrigley Field where they have won 11 of their last 15 games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Chicago has also won 16 of their last 21 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 17 of their last 23 games when priced as a favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. They give the ball to Quintana who is 4-3 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in eight games (nine starts). The deeper sabermetrics suggest that the left-hander is producing numbers that are commensurate of peripheral figures. Quintana has a SIERA projecting an ERA of 3.88 moving forward while his xFIP projects some improvement with it projecting an ERA of 3.55. Quintana has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.36 ERA along with a 1.05 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .208 in four starts. The Cubs have won 20 of their last 27 home games with Quintana on the hill — and this includes them winning five of these last seven home games with Quintana facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Phillies team that is scoring just 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .222 batting average along with a .303 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .676 over that span. Philadelphia has lost 6 of their last 8 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. Philly has won four straight games with three of those contests decided by just one run with the fourth game resolved by a two-run margin. The Phillies have then lost 36 of their last 54 games after winning three straight games by no more than two runs in each contest. Philadelphia has lost 6 of their last 9 road games as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range — and they have lost 27 of their last 39 road games with the Total set in the 7 to 7.5 range. The Phillies have also lost a decisive 47 of their last 76 road games when priced in the +/- 125 range. They counter with Eflin who is 5-4 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in nine starts. The sabermetrics are bearish with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.19 and 4.44 moving forward. The left-hander has been very good at home where he owns a 2.25 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and .233 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 3.54 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Eflin had a 3.33 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and .237 opponent’s batting average at home but a 5.62 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and .288 opponent’s batting average on the road. Philly has lost 9 of their last 11 road games with Eflin on the hill — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games with Eflin facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Eflin faces a Cubs lineup that is averaging 5.6 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 19 of their last 26 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Look for Quintana to out-pitch Eflin. 10* MLB Phillies-Cubs ESPN Special with the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (902) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (901) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Zach Eflin.  Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2019
Sharks vs Blues
Sharks
+163 at BMaker
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Free

Take the San Jose Sharks with the money-line versus the St. Louis Blues. San Jose (56-37-7) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after losing Game Five of this series with their 5-0 loss. The Sharks are big money-line underdogs given the injury status of Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl, and Joe Pavelski. Reports this afternoon indicate Karlsson and Hertl did not make the trip to St. Louis with Pavelski still being a game-time decision. But it would be foolhardy to count out this San Jose team that has already won 4 games in this postseason when facing elimination. The Sharks have also won 7 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least four goals. The news of Karlsson and Hertl out for tonight’s game may make St. Louis (56-35-9) feel even more comfortable about their prospects tonight — but that is very dangerous territory for a franchise that has lost 10 of their last 15 games in the Western Conference Finals. The Blues are just 4-5 on home ice this season — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 playoff games when leading in the series. Take San Jose with the money-line. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Year last night with Portland plus the points to continue their NEAR PERFECT 6 of 7 (86%) NBA run with their highest-rated 25* plays along with a 12 of 17 (71%) NBA Conference Finals 25* run going back to last season! Frank is ON FIRE in these playoffs with a RED HOT 10 of 14 (71%) NBA Playoff run which has furthered his 17 of 26 (65%) NBA mark over the last few weeks! Frank also owns a 28 of 43 (65%) NBA Conference Finals mark going back the last few seasons — and he continues his NEAR PERFECT 6 of 7 (86%) NBA Conference Finals Sides run this season with his 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Playoff Game of the Year for tonight’s Milwaukee-Toronto at 8:35 PM ET! DON’T MISS IT!

Frank was a WINNING 2-1 in All-Sports on Monday to continue his RED HOT 22 of 30 (73%) All-Sports run since last Tuesday! Frank lone loss was with the Golden State-Portland Under — but he remains on a 10 of 14 (71%) NBA Playoff run along with his 17 of 26 (65%) NBA mark over the last few weeks! Frank is also on a 8 of 13 (62%) NBA Playoff Totals run which has continued his DOMINANT 129 of 212 (61%) NBA TOTALS TEAR and his 15 of 21 (71%) NBA Conference Finals Totals run going back to last year — and now he has tonight’s Milwaukee-Toronto O/U winner! CA$H-IN Frank’s Tuesday Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

Frank lost his 25* NHL play on San Jose on Sunday — but he remains on a SCORCHING 22 of 29 (76%) NHL run with their highest-rated 25* plays which includes a 12-1-1 (92%) NHL 5* Totals mark! Frank is still on a RED HOT 25 of 38 (66%) NHL Playoff run this postseason along with a 25 of 38 (66%) NHL Playoffs Totals run — and he BOUNCES-BACK on the ice with the San Jose-St. Louis O/U winner on the NBC Sports Network at 8:08 PM ET that is worthy of his 5* seal of approval! JOIN Frank for this 25* SPECIAL FEATURE!

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  May 21, 2019
Sharks vs Blues
UNDER 5½ -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Top Premium

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (56-35-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Sunday with their 5-0 victory over San Jose (56-36-7). The Blues return home tonight as they attempt to close out this series to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Sharks are big money-line underdogs given the injury status of Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl, and Joe Pavelski. Reports this afternoon indicate Karlsson and Hertl did not make the trip to St. Louis with Pavelski still being a game-time decision (and, hence, I am comfortable making my call on this game with that updated information).

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Jose has scored only one goal in the last two games since their controversial hand pass helped Karlsson score the winning goal in overtime in the third game of this series. The Sharks were still in a close game on Sunday midway through the second period before Hertl took a big hit that was not called for a penalty. Instead, Hertl was unable to return for the third period and joined both Pavelski and Karlsson in suffering game-ending injuries. Don’t read much into the final score where the Sharks allowed five goals as San Jose committed 32 minutes of penalties in the final 20 minutes of that game that was likely lost. The Sharks will be without at least two important pieces on offense with Karlsson and Hertl out. San Jose can only grind out a low-scoring game tonight. But don’t count them out — goaltender Martin Jones owns a sensational .943 save percentage in the four elimination games he has played this season which includes two overtime periods as he has stopped the 149 of the 158 shots he has faced which is a pretty large sample size. The Sharks have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 20 sixth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. They have also played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in two straight games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last five games on the road. St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a shutout victory — and they have played 6 of their last 8 Under the Total after allowing no more than one goal in two straight games. Additionally, not only have the Blues played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a shutout win on the road but they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. Much of St. Louis’ success has come from not giving the Sharks’ too many chances with a man-advantage. The Blues have committed only 12 minor penalties in this series — and that has helped them allow only two Power Play goals in this series. The Under is 18-6-2 in St. Louis’ last 26 home games when a favorite priced in the -151 to -200 range — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 playoff games priced in the -151 to -200 range.

FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. The Sharks can win this game — but they need to focus most of their energies on stopping the Blues’ from scoring and make this a tight game in the third period where their experience gives them an edge. 25* NHL Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2019
Bucks vs Raptors
UNDER 217½ -103 Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Toronto (67-30) made this is a 2-1 series on Sunday with their 118-112 victory over Milwaukee (70-24) in double-overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Raptors host the fourth game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Toronto has seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up win. The Raptors pulled out Game Three of this series despite making only 40% of their shots inside the arc which was the fifth lowest shooting effort for their 2-point shots in their 97 games this season. Toronto made 17 of their 45 shots (37.8%) of their 3-pointers to stay competitive in that game. Yet that was only the fourth time in these playoffs that a team made at least 36% of their shots from behind the arc against the Bucks. The Raptors have made only 39.9% of their shots over their last five games. In this postseason, Toronto is scoring at just a 0.99 Points-Per-Possession rate which is -5.0 PPP below the woeful Knicks who had the least efficient offense in the NBA in the regular season. Going deeper, if it seemed like the Raptors blew a bunch of layups on Sunday, it is because they did: Toronto is converting a mere 43% of their layup attempts coming from their half-court offense in this series. But the Raptors are hanging their hat on their defensive efforts as they have held their playoff opponents to just 41.2% shooting. Additionally, Toronto has limited the Bucks to scoring only 80 Points per 100 Possessions in the half court in the first three games of this series. The Raptors have been beaten on the boards by at least -6.0 Rebounds Per Game in each of the three games in this series — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after getting being out-rebounded by at least 5 boards in three straight games. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 15 fourth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while the Bucks had won and covered the point spread in their previous six games before suffering their loss on Sunday, they have then played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after winning at least four of their last five games. Milwaukee has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. The Bucks are struggling to execute their offense as well in this series — they have made only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games while converting only 29.5% of their shots from behind the arc in this series. Milwaukee has also made only 52% of their layup attempts from their half-court offense in this series. The move by Toronto head coach Nick Nurse to have Kawhi Leonard handle the one-and-one defensive assignment against Giannis Antetokounmpo paid dividends in Game Three with the Greek Freak missing 11 of his 16 shots attempts en route to just 12 points. But the Bucks are playing outstanding defense as well as they have limited their last five opponents to just 37.5% shooting from the field. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: While Game Three (fortunately) finished Over the Total, it needed the two overtime periods to get there after that game concluded regulation time knotted at 96 points apiece. Expect another lower scoring game that will not need overtime to resolve. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2019
Bucks vs Raptors
Bucks
-2½ -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (503) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Toronto (67-30) made this is a 2-1 series on Sunday with their 118-112 victory over Milwaukee (70-24) in double-overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Raptors host the fourth game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee saw their six-game winning streak snapped in that game — but they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games after a straight-up loss. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 33 games after a point spread loss. Milwaukee almost stole Game Three of this series despite not having a dismal performance on offense. The Bucks made only 37.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games — and they made only 14 of their 44 shots (31.8%) from 3-point land. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored only 12 points while turning the ball over 8 times. The Greek Freak combined with Kris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe to score a mere 32 points on 11 of 48 combined shooting — and they three committed 16 turnovers. Milwaukee should see a better effort from their top three scorers. It is a testament to the strong Bucks’ bench as well as their strong defense that they were able to force overtime on Sunday. Milwaukee is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 47 road games as the favorite. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in Toronto. The Raptors played their best defensive game in their last twelve contests by holding the Bucks to that 37.3% shooting effort. They were carried by Kawhi Leonard who played 52 minutes who scored 36 points while drawing the defensive assignment on Antetokounmpo. But with Leonard hobbled by a leg injury, this Toronto team may be simply asking too much of him to continue to carry all the load. Too often his Raptors teammates have been too passive in picking up the offensive slack — especially in crucial situations. Toronto’s hot shooting from 3-point land helped them race out to a 58-51 halftime lead as they made 17 of their 45 shots (37.8%) from behind the arc. But the Raptors managed only 38 points in the second half despite being only the fourth team in these playoffs to make at least 36% of their 3-pointers in a game against the Bucks. Toronto is not built to pull out these high scoring games. They launched 102 shots on Sunday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after taking at least 100 shots in their last game. And while the last two games of this series have finished Over the Total, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after playing two straight Overs. Toronto has struggled against balanced teams this season as they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games against opponents who make at least 46% of their shots while holding their opponents to only 43% or less shooting — and the Raptors shoot 47.3% for the season while limiting their opponents to just 42.9% shooting.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 opportunities to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. With Leonard not at 100% with his leg injury and perhaps fatigues after logging in 52 grueling minutes two days ago, this Bucks team that should better performances from Antetokounmpo, Middleton, and Bledsoe should overwhelm the Raptors. It is telling that the oddsmakers installed Milwaukee as a 2.5-point road favorite when this game opened after Toronto was laying those points on Sunday in their victory. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Playoff Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Bucks (503) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
Dodgers vs Rays
Dodgers
-118 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (979) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (980) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Ryan Stanek (as their opener). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (32-17) has won the first two games of this series — as well as six of their last seven games — with their 7-3 victory over the Rays in the opening game of this two-game series. Tampa Bay (27-18) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Los Angeles has won 4 of their last 5 games after a victory. The Dodgers have not allowed more than four runs in seven straight games — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight games. Additionally, Los Angeles has won 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. They have also won 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Furthermore, the Dodgers have won 20 of their last 29 games when favored in the -125 to -175 price range — and this includes them covering the point spread in eight of the last twelve situations where they were playing on the road. They give the ball to Hill who is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in four starts this season after starting the season on the disabled list. The left-hander has been better on the road where he has a 2.70 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in two starts. His disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where he had a 3.63 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .193 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 3.69 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .246 opponent’s batting average at home. The Dodgers have won 6 straight road games with Hill on the mound. The veteran comes off a strong effort where he allowed only two hits and no runs while striking out 10 batters on the road in Cincinnati. Los Angeles has won 17 of their last 22 games with Hill following up a Quality Start. He faces a Rays team that is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .224 batting average along with a .280 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .644. Tampa Bay has lost 4 of their last 5 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rays have lost 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 15 of their last 21 home games in Interleague play when playing a team with a winning record. They counter with Stanek as their “opener” for this contest. Handicapping these increasingly prevalent MLB games where openers are employed is a pain in the proverbial arse — but, the challenge represents an opportunity to find more of an edge against the books (and the betting public in the market that helps set the final line). Stanek is 0-1 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.07 WHIP this season that needs to be taken with a grain of salt since he will only pitch 1 or 2 innings before being taken out. With these openers, I want to look for red flags regarding that pitcher surrendering a handful of runs rather than being satisfied that the individual in question will pitch an inning or two of scoreless ball. The deeper sabermetrics suggest that Stanek is overachieving given his SIERA and xFIP of 4.03 and 4.38 moving forward. The Rays have lost 7 of their last 11 games with Stanek opening as a money-line underdog priced at +100 to +150. While the initial reports this week suggested that Jalen Beeks would then pitch the middle innings tonight, the fact that the lefty pitched 3 innings last night likely removes that possibility. Instead, I suspect that it will Yonny Chirinos to then take over with his 5-1 record along with a 3.26 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. He has pitched 4 2/3 and 4 innings in his last two appearances that were also following up Stanek opening the game. But Chirinos’ SIERA and XFIP project an ERA of 4.24 and 4.34 moving forward. With Stanek and Chirinos both right-handed pitchers, we can put some stock in the Dodgers’ numbers against righties since that will likely consist of at least 5 innings of this game. Led by Cody Bellinger’s career year swinging from the left side of the plate, Los Angeles is clobbering right-handed pitching by averaging 5.5 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers (which is roughly applicable for this situation) along with a .261 batting average, .343 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .815. The Dodgers have won 36 of their last 51 games against right-handed starting pitchers. And while both Stanek and Chirinos have WHIPs of 1.07 and 0.91 this season, LA has won 41 of their last 57 games against teams using starting pitchers with a WHIP no higher than 1.15 (and I consider this situation applicable). The Rays’ bullpen is also struggling as of late as they have a 5.35 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP over their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: Frankly, successful handicapping consists of discerning what data is relevant and what data is irrelevant as evidence for the unique situation at hand. The emerging tactic of baseball managers to use openers pitching just one or two innings presents a new challenge for those of us that attempt to find value in the battle between starting pitchers. In this instance, the three-headed monster of Stanek, Chirinos, and then the rest of the Rays’ bullpen looks overvalued — and they are facing one of the best teams in baseball in the Dodgers who are not often favored below my -150 money-line price threshold. 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Month with the money-line on the Los Angeles Dodgers (979) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (980) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Ryan Stanek (as their opener). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2019
Diamondbacks vs Padres
Padres
-129 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

At 3:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Diego Padres (954) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) listing both starting pitchers Eric Lauer and Merrill Kelly. THE SITUATION: San Diego (25-24) has won the first two games of this series with their 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks yesterday. Arizona (25-24) has now lost four games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PADRES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Diego has now 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Padres have also won 9 of their last 13 games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. And in their last 17 games played in the afternoon, San Diego has won 12 of these contests. They give the ball to Lauer who is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in nine starts this season. The deeper sabermetrics suggest that the left-hander should be seeing better results with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.62 and 4.70 moving forward. Lauer has also been much better at home in Petco Park where he owns a 3.04 ERA with a 1.35 WIP in five starts as compared to his 8.24 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP when pitching on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Lauer had a 3.99 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP at home but a 4.73 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP on the road. Lauer has also been quite good in his three day starts this season where he has compiled a 2.70 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .233. The Padres have won 4 of their last 5 games with Lauer facing a team with a winning record. He should fare well against this slumping Diamondbacks team that has is batting only .227 over their last seven games with a .306 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .729. Arizona has lost 5 straight games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Diamondbacks have also lost 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring no more two runs in their last game. Arizona has now lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road. They have also lost 15 of their last 21 third games of a series. They counter with Kelly who is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in nine starts. The 30-year old rookie right-hander has been tough at home where he has a 2.64 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .261 in five starts — but he sees those numbers skyrocket to a 6.53 ERA with a 1.84 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .286 on the road. The sabermetrics are not bullish either with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting regression with his ERA rising to 4.85 and 4.76 marks respectively moving forward. Kelly will be supported by a bullpen that has been rocked on the road with a 4.83 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP this season. The Padres have won 9 of their last 13 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has now lost 6 of their last 7 meetings with San Diego. Look for Lauer to outpitch Kelly this afternoon. 25* MLB Getaway Game of the Month with the money-line on the San Diego Padres (954) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) listing both starting pitchers Eric Lauer and Merrill Kelly. Best of luck for us — Frank.

SERVICE BIO

Frank Sawyer has been the handicapper for the stars ever since he started working in the film industry over 20 years ago. In 1997, Frank decided to make his personal bets available to the public and his Hollywood Sports was born. His service has been ranked #1 by the Sports Monitor in Oklahoma City. Frank's style combines his veteran handicapping instincts with cutting edge statistical metric analysis to make him one of the most distinct, diverse and reliable handicappers in the business. One look at his Game Reports illustrates the difference he brings to the betting window. Frank bets football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer and horse racing (he has been a professional racehorse owner). He ranks his plays with a simple 10*, 20* and 25* rating system that serves as a money management guide: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays are strong enough to warrant a doubling of a standard bet; 25* plays are Frank's highest rated play and it is recommended to invest 2.5 to 3 times a standard bet. Frank's signature play is his *A-List* release which is reserved for only the most rare and elite betting situations. You can follow his daily sports trials and tribulations (with few jokes thrown in) on Twitter: FrankSawyer_HS